Pundits predict that Biden will officially start a war with Russia in 2024. Yes, it's possible. But it will take a 'Pearl Harbor' type of event, which Ukrainian militants can organize.
The outbreak of WWIII will very likely go as you describe. But your final paragraph might confuse and frighten the average American re. possible outcomes -- which could be unhelpful.
In the current situation, the phrase "total victory" is very asymmetrical. For the US, "total victory" means unquestioned global hegemony -- precisely the "Dictatress of the World" that John Quincy Adams denounced. For Russia, it just means total sovereignty: Freedom to cooperate, but also freedom to not cooperate when terms are unfair. Russia is not intent on being "the only one left standing." She only insists that she be left standing.
Average Americans need to understand that "total Russian victory" does not mean Russian troops on US soil -- not unless the conflict is pushed to an entirely new level. The only ones who might need to fear it are corrupt elites.
Yes good point. I should have clarified that. A total Russian victory would be as you say; and would come about if NATO collapses amid an epic financial and economic crisis.
If the most people to believe in a bad variant of future it gets more chances to be realized. Never mind what an evil rullers were planning! Let's do not believe in the apocalyptic variant of the future! We should believe in the best variant of future if we want to give him more chances to be realized!
Sep 11, 2023·edited Sep 11, 2023Liked by John Varoli
What's needed is a tricky balance that seems to elude most people these days, and I don't understand why. We must hope for the best, but also be soberly prepared for the worst. Without the second part, people become thoroughly placated, which makes collective action impossible.
"Hope is not a lottery ticket you can sit on the sofa and clutch, feeling lucky. Hope is an ax you break down doors with in an emergency." - Rebecca Solnit
The answer that I hear repeatedly from Americans and Europeans, even those who are aware and informed, is: “I don’t want to dwell on unpleasant matters, and I can’t change anything anyway.”
Ukrainian militants will not organize the "Pearl Harbor" event of the Ukraine war. They or other non-US agencies may implement it, but US Special Ops will organize it, at the direction of US leadership.
The outbreak of WWIII will very likely go as you describe. But your final paragraph might confuse and frighten the average American re. possible outcomes -- which could be unhelpful.
In the current situation, the phrase "total victory" is very asymmetrical. For the US, "total victory" means unquestioned global hegemony -- precisely the "Dictatress of the World" that John Quincy Adams denounced. For Russia, it just means total sovereignty: Freedom to cooperate, but also freedom to not cooperate when terms are unfair. Russia is not intent on being "the only one left standing." She only insists that she be left standing.
Average Americans need to understand that "total Russian victory" does not mean Russian troops on US soil -- not unless the conflict is pushed to an entirely new level. The only ones who might need to fear it are corrupt elites.
Yes good point. I should have clarified that. A total Russian victory would be as you say; and would come about if NATO collapses amid an epic financial and economic crisis.
If the most people to believe in a bad variant of future it gets more chances to be realized. Never mind what an evil rullers were planning! Let's do not believe in the apocalyptic variant of the future! We should believe in the best variant of future if we want to give him more chances to be realized!
I hope you’re right
What's needed is a tricky balance that seems to elude most people these days, and I don't understand why. We must hope for the best, but also be soberly prepared for the worst. Without the second part, people become thoroughly placated, which makes collective action impossible.
"Hope is not a lottery ticket you can sit on the sofa and clutch, feeling lucky. Hope is an ax you break down doors with in an emergency." - Rebecca Solnit
The answer that I hear repeatedly from Americans and Europeans, even those who are aware and informed, is: “I don’t want to dwell on unpleasant matters, and I can’t change anything anyway.”
Ukrainian militants will not organize the "Pearl Harbor" event of the Ukraine war. They or other non-US agencies may implement it, but US Special Ops will organize it, at the direction of US leadership.
Yes. I should clarify — Ukrainian militants passing themselves off as Russians.